Thursday, January 7, 2010

Oscars X 3.0

Posted By on Thu, Jan 7, 2010 at 12:07 PM

Up in the Air
  • Up in the Air
Oscars season is in full swing, and oh how magnificent it is. This year, the Academy has expanded the Best Picture field to 10 — making the nomination prognostication possibly easier than guessing the winner in a wide-open field.

This is my third version of making the Best Pic field prediction. My first two lists (see below) are at times laughable, in retrospect. Amelia get a nomination? Ha! Of course, at the time I could only imagine the Oscar bait offered up by the pairing of Hilary Swank and Mira Nair. Critically panned, including by the Flyer's own Hannah Sayle.

And Nine? Oh, brother. Not many folks had a good thing to say about that — Chris Herrington certainly didn't think it was worth the trip.

So, with the hindsight of actually seeing some of these films, and with an education derived from Oscar-indicating honors, such as from the Producers Guild (why do producers need a guild? They run the world!) and the Golden Globes, here's my current guess on the Best Picture 10. With an * if it's new to my guess list.

Oscars X 3.0:

Up
Julie & Julia
The Hurt Locker
Avatar
Invictus
* An Education
* Precious
* Up in the Air
* The Blind Side
* Inglourious Basterds

The most likely place I'm wrong here is that I'm not including District 9. The film I feel least good about keeping on in District 9's place is Julie & Julia, because I'm afraid I'm blinded by how much I loved it and assume the Academy will similarly honor it's existence.

In addition to Amelia and Nine, I've removed Where the Wild Things Are (has a shot at a nomination, though), The Road (highly unlikely), and The Lovely Bones (zilch buzz).

Official Academy Award nominations announced February 2nd. The show airs March 7th.

My previous list (from a post from August 7th, 2009)
Up
Julie & Julia
The Hurt Locker
Nine
The Road
Where the Wild Things Are
Amelia
The Lovely Bones
Avatar
Invictus/The Human Factor

The initial list (from a post from June 24, 2009)
Up
Nine
The Informant
The Road
Where the Wild Things Are
Amelia
Brothers
The Lovely Bones
Avatar
Invictus/The Human Factor

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