Tuesday, January 24, 2012

Oscars 2012: Best Picture Predictions 2.0 (UPDATED)

Posted By on Tue, Jan 24, 2012 at 9:17 AM

Jean Dujardin in The Artist
  • Jean Dujardin in "The Artist"


The Oscar nominations are out this morning. Nine films made the final Best Picture race, and of those I correctly predicted eight. I thought Bridesmaids would get in, but instead the Academy served up Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close. "Yay!" said nobody. (My 10th film, The Ides of March, didn't make the cut either, natch.)

Stay tuned to the SING ALL KINDS blog as the Oscars approach. Memphis Flyer film editor Chris Herrington and I will be offering up our annual Academy Awards tête-à-tête, at this point a ritual as rich in tradition as the Masters golf tournament. All we lack is a Jim Nance voiceover.


Back in September, I made my predictions for the movies that would be nominated for Best Picture in the 2012 Academy Awards.

The real nominations will be announced tomorrow morning at 7:30 a.m. (!!!) The five minute segment is pound-for-pound my favorite thing on TV all year.

In anticipation, here's my last-ditch guess at what the nominated films will be. A curveball the wily Academy has thrown beginning this year is that there will be somewhere between 5-10 films nominated, with a minimum threshold of votes necessary to make the list. I'm going to go 10 deep for my predictions, but it's certainly possible that only 7 or 8 (or fewer) will actually make the official cut.

(For ease of use, my September predictions are listed at the bottom of the page.)

2012 Best Picture Oscar Nominee Predictions 2.0 (In order of my certainty):

The Artist
The Descendants
Midnight in Paris
The Help
War Horse
Tree of Life
The Ides of March

The next five: The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, Melancholia, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close, 50/50

Best Picture Oscar Nominee Predictions 1.0 (6 of 10 advanced to my final prediction list):

The Help
The Descendants
The Ides of March
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
Tree of Life
War Horse
J. Edgar
The Artist
A Dangerous Method
The Adventures of Tintin

Note: Hilariously, in my September predictions I said, "I've seen Moneyball and am eliminating it from having a chance at a Best Pic nomination."

And now obviously I'm saying Moneyball is going to get a nomination. Yet another reminder to not be blinded by one's own emotional relationship to a film (I kinda hated Moneyball) when delving into Oscarology.

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